Wednesday, March 11, 2015

The Poisoning of Crufts Part II - the story unravels

So it seems that people who own watches and do a little thinking are seeing holes in the reasoning behind the alleged poisoning at Crufts by animal rights activists.This is of course probability nonsense - as I noted in a previous post.






However we do have clues about what most likely happened to Jagger. He ate cubes of beef and he had poison still in solid form in his stomach. His symptoms were sudden onset and massive - the dog died before ever seeing the vet.

The most likely suspect is in my opinion slug bait. It fits all the reported symptoms, timeline, and released post mort information. The toxicology report will be the real story.

Now the real question to me is why his owners are clinging to the story about Crufts being the source of this poison rather than accidental poisoning which seems to be the most likely story. I think I have come up with the two most likely answers - sometimes what you want to believe is more important than reality. Accidents happen. Dogs die every day. It can be a great comfort to place blame elsewhere.
My second theory is more financial. This dog is owned by what appears to be three families. If one person's negligence costs an investment there may be financial repercussions to consider.

Because of this I believe that even if the evidence shows irrefutably that this dog was poisoned at home that this is the story about being poisoning at Crufts will be what they cling to. It's good business sense to do so and it's good PR to do so. So my guess is that is what the story will be. 

Now comes forward other dog owners who want to camp on the attention by spreading allegations that their little pooch also suddenly came down with the case of the poisonings. No other dogs have been confirmed at this stage of the game which makes me think that any dog with a case of the sniffles will be deemed "poisoned" by their owners and handlers. It's easier to think that rather than stress, disease, and simple bad luck could be the cause of their dog's case of the runs. Odds are good when nearly 22,000 dogs enter a building a few will get sick, and a couple will die within short order of the show.

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